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THE UFO PROBLEM: TIME FOR A REASSESSMENT A Thesis Submitted to the Air and Staff College of
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DEPARTMENT OF THE AIR FORCE October 16, 1992 HQ AU/IMD Mr. Dale Goudie
This is in response to your Freedom of Information Act request of September 14, 1992, for a copy of the "Thesis Submitted to the Air Command and Staff College of Air University ..." entitled "The UFO Problem: Time for a Reassessment" by J. King, Major, USAF, dated June 1968. The requested document is releasable and a copy is attached. There is no charge for the document. Sincerely /s/ Lucy P. McInnis LUCY P. McINNIS
1 Atch
Strength Through Knowledge --------------------------------------------------------------------------- AIR COMMAND AND STAFF COLLEGE THE UFO PROBLEM: TIME FOR A REASSESSMENT by John R. King, FR 47113, 1930-
A Thesis Submitted to the Air and Staff College of June 1968 Thesis directed by Dale E. Downing, Lieutenant
Colonel, USAF AIR UNIVERSITY MAXWELL AIR FORCE BASE, ALABAMA --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ABSTRACT The debate centered around whether or not UFOs are extraterrestrial space vehicles, or whether they exist at all, has raged for many years. During the course of the debate the United States Air Force, official government agency responsible for UFO report evaluation, has been subjected to severe criticism for the manner in which it has handled this problem. This paper presents the positions of the critics, outlined the Air Force response and general approach to the subject and concludes that the Air Force has performed ineptly. Recommendations are made for the future conduct of UFO investigations. ii --------------------------------------------------------------------------- PREFACE Anyone attempting a discussion of the UFO problem must present his scientific/technological credentials to the reader. Failure to present some assurance that things scientific and technological are not totally beyond the comprehension of the writer exposes the writer to possible dismissal as untrained and/or unreliable. The writer of this paper presents the following: Occupation: Active duty Air Force officer with over fourteen years service. Academic Experience: Scientific. Chemistry, Biology, Botany, mathematics. Baccalaureate degree in Geology, University of Cincinnati, 1953. Member, Sigma Gamma Epsilon national geology honorary fraternity. Civilian Experience: Soils technician, The H. C. Nutting Company, General Engineering Testing, Cincinnati, Ohio. Air Force Experience: Technical officer. Communications-cs operation, maintenance. Radar site selection. Project Officer, Minuteman System program Office, in charge of development and acquisition of minuteman II Ground Electronics System (Launch Control and Status Monitoring System - digital data). iii --------------------------------------------------------------------------- TABLE OF CONTENTS Page ABSTRACT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ii PREFACE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iii Chapter I. INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 The Psychology
of the Times II. THE POSITION SPECTRUM AND SALIENT CHARACTERISTIC . . . . 9 The Ultra
Group (Hostile) III. THE AIR FORCE AND UFOS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 Past
Performance IV. THE IMPLICATIONS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 Political V. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 FOOTNOTES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 APPENDIX A . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 APPENDIX B . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 APPENDIX C . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 APPENDIX D . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 BIBLIOGRAPHY. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 iv CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION The Psychology of the Times We have not yet arrived at the point in our culture where it is in vogue to believe in flying saucers. On the contrary, if one suggests that these machines might exist, and that we need to look at the problem objectively, he frequently meets with a not so subtle change in the topic of conversation. Why is this so? Within the last twenty years, Man has discovered that through his conscious efforts he can improve his material lot in marvelous ways. He no longer waits for accidental discoveries to take place. Rather, he actively searches out answers in the physical sciences and converts these discoveries into tangible and practical material things for the good of humanity. The general advancement of what is known as technology is attributed to scientists, to the scientific method, and to the pragmatism of the laboratory. The accomplishments in technology have been so impressive that scientists and things scientific have assumed an aura almost of infallibility. 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- We are living in a pragmatic society. However, one detects a curious thing about all this objectivity. There has been built up almost a cult of allegiance to, and unquestioned confidence in, the scientist of today. The high priests are the coldly objective scientists, who "prove" truth and falsity in mathematical formulae and in laboratory demonstration. Their ability to do this in many areas has been quite convincing. This success has in large measure been responsible for the commonly heard statements, "It's not scientific," or, "Science has proven that...etc." Science is looked upon as the authority. However, people forget that some of the misconceptions of mankind have been shared with, or even caused by, the scientists of the times. The concept of the flat Earth and the concept of the Earth as the center of the universe were concepts commonly held by the scientists and people of the times. We today hold different views about the nature of the Earth. Hopefully we are closer to the truth. It must be remembered that every succeeding generation has modified the scientific "truths" of past generations. No generation should be so brash as to think that it has once and for all determined the ultimate in scientific truth. 2 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Man continues to be egocentric and arrogant about his status in the universe. he has a tendency to become resentful and confused when he is confronted with a problem which he feels may be beyond his capacity. Scientists have developed what is known as the scientific method. This approach to a problem includes as one of its precepts testing of hypotheses. This testing places emphasis on demonstrations perceivable to the five obvious senses. The scientific community until recently has looked askance at any attempt to include additional senses to the human inventory. Science has been using the five senses as the intellectual base for supporting or refuting hypotheses. the scientific method has been sacrosanct. To challenge its adequacy has been heretical. Then along came things like psychic phenomena: clairvoyance, clairaudience, precognition, apportation, psychic surgery. In some scientific circles this must have been traumatic. Psychic attributes are not included in the five standard senses. Immediately some scientists set about to prove that demonstrations of psychic powers were either fraudulent or could be explained in terms of the five senses. Others refused to discuss the topic at all. Some of the open-minded scientists started to do what 3 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- True objectivity demands: investigate, on the assumption that these powers may in fact exist, and may warrant a change in the established order of things. Out-of-hand rejection based on ignorance appears to be more human than scientific. These scientists who decided that psychic phenomena deserved investigation have been subjected to the scoffings and ridicule of the "stable" scientific community to the extent that much investigation has had to be conducted clandestinely and anonymously to preserve scientific reputation. Today, investigations into psychic phenomena do not carry the paralyzing stigma of the past, but the existence of psychic senses is still not universally accepted. The writer's point is that objectivity may be subject to various definitions, depending on how closely this objectivity conforms to the norms of the times. It appears to be much easier to be objective about any given "fact" or theory if the "fact" or theory fits neatly into the body of information currently accepted as valid. A "fact" or theory which fits may be taken almost as prima facie proof of itself. On the other hand, if some piece of information turns up which runs counter to current thought, which is unscientific, or which shakes the egocentricity of the scientific community or Man himself, then that piece of information or theory meets 4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- with particular non-objectivity. man finds it extremely difficult to accept or even to objectively investigate anything which threatens to shatter his emotional equanimity or his high regard for himself. The Antagonists and the Bewildered It is not at all surprising that the UFO debate has frequently become charged with emotion. It contains within it many of the characteristics of the Earth-as-the-center-of-the-universe debate; it is probably viewed by some in the scientific community as a threat to their reputation of near-omniscience; it carries implications of the highest import to Man's status and future. The idea of the existence of UFOs ( and the corollary that they are operated by intelligent beings who are extraterrestrial) is emotionally difficult for Man to contemplate. A large section of society probably wishes that the problem would go away. The writer feels that, at least subconsciously, this wishful thinking has pervaded what is claimed to be an objective investigation. Currently the debate is concentrated on what constitutes valid proof and evidence. The non-believers insist on physical, "scientific" proof and evidence. they are adamant. The believers maintain that there is already ample evidence, which should be 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- accepted by the non-believers. But among the believers are those who have taken up positions so far away from the norm that they have earned nothing but the scorn and ridicule of the non-believers. These believers have served the non-believers well, because it is in the far out literature that monsters, little green men and ray guns appear, and the non-believers can point to this literature as they make their sweeping statements about the mental condition of believers. And so the debate rages. Formalities of the Approach to the Subject The Problem: To investigate the bases for the opposing positions taken in the existence of extraterrestrial unidentified flying objects in order to determine the validity of the predominantly negatively oriented position of the U.S. Air Force. The Major Objective: To determine the advisability of a modification in the Air Force's public relations approach to the subject of UFOs. The Specific Objectives: - To identify the various
camps which are studying the UFO problem and to characterize 6 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- - To weigh the divergent
positions. Research Limitations: Research will be limited to source materials available in the Montgomery, Alabama, area, with the possible exception of written or telephonic contact with Air Force Project Blue Book personnel and special project personnel at the University of Colorado. Assumptions:
- The Air Force will not modify its approach to the problem prior to the
completion of this 7 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Plan In succeeding chapters the author will review the various schools of thought of the believers, will present their respective stands, and will present the types of evidence offered by each school. He will also present the position of the non-believers and of the U.S. Air Force. An analysis will be made of the opposing and noncommittal positions, with an attempt to present the salient points of each position. In the closing chapters, some of the debate will be explored, and certain conclusions drawn and recommendations made for consideration by the Air Force. 8 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- CHAPTER II THE POSITION SPECTRUM AND SALIENT CHARACTERISTICS The Arena In the UFO debate there are many shades of opinion, from the ultra-liberal to the ultra-conservative, with a graduation of opinion between these two extremes. As is usual in a debate with high emotional content, and on a subject with such profound implications, the most vociferous are to be found at the extremes, with the middle ground pleading for objectivity on the one hand and open-mindedness on the other. Diagrammatically, the position spectrum might be depicted as follows. The diagram indicates the names of the principal spokesmen for the respective positions. There is no absolute line of demarcation between the contiguous positions of the believers. However, there are in each group certain rather clearly identifiable central traits which do not appear as major traits in the other groups. These key characteristics have been used by the author as the basis for the position spectrum. 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The Position Spectrum
CUFONSM NOTE: original has dashed line between "Qunintanilla"
and "Project Blue Book." 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The Family of Believers Although there are differences of opinion in some areas, all groups in the family of believers have certain characteristics in common. Among these are: - A belief in the existence of UFOs as
extraterrestrially originating space vehicles controlled by The Ultra Group (Hostile). Although this group is smaller than the group which believes that space visitors are benevolent, the members of this group will nevertheless be heard. The literature of this group contains claims of hostile actions by space beings. Hostility in this context includes instances of death and injury supposedly related to UFO appearances, abductions, the appearance of monster-like beings, reconnaissance of 11 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- defense installations, harassment of aircraft and automobiles, power blackouts, imminent invasion of the world and other happenings which purportedly take place because of the basic hostility of the space beings towards Man. [1] It is this group which publishes the sensational, alarmist material so often seen at the news stands. The emphasis is on the threat to mankind. It is claimed that the space beings have mastered space travel and are using this knowledge to menace the Earth. the inference is that the space beings are sub-humans who are morally and spiritually degenerate. Usually the books of this group are of the paperback type and deal with only one or two alleged incidents of hostile action on the part of space beings. The writing is usually not of the highest caliber, and the depth of thought and of analysis leaves much to be desired. In addition, care is usually taken by the authors to conceal the identity of the person or persons involved. [2] This prevents any reader from pursuing independent investigation. While this prevents a reader from confirming the story, it likewise protects the author from exposure. Because of the sensationalism, the concealment of the identity of the principals involved, the shallow treatment of the subject and the general alarmist approach, the credibility and qualifications of the authors is subject to question. 12 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- One suspects commercial motives in the bulk of this type of literature. Nevertheless, one does find a few works which are serious attempts to warn of the malevolent nature of at least some of the space beings. [3] In any serious investigation of a problem all factors and approaches should be considered. For this reason, claims of hostile actions must be considered and not rejected out of hand. What are hostile actions? For the purpose of this paper, hostile actions are defined as actions which result in the death or injury of human beings and actions which disrupt the normal flow of human activity in a manner antagonistic to human interests. There are in the literature many examples of hostile actions on the part of space beings: death of two South American technologists, [4] death of Capt. Mantell (USAF), [5] disappearance of U.S. aircraft, [6] injury to a scout master in Florida, [7] abduction of a South American farmer, [8] abduction of Mr. and Mrs. Barney Hill, [9] the appearance of a monster-like being in Virginia, [10] reconnaissance of defense installations, [11] harassment of aircraft and automobiles, [12] power blackouts [13] and actions which purportedly indicate preparations for an invasion of the Earth. [14] 13 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Members of the group claiming hostility on the part of space beings take the ominous approach. In addition to citing examples of distasteful contact with space beings, they also claim suppressive actions on the part of mysterious representatives of space societies, and even threatening visits by individuals who, in the opinion of the visitee, represent such agencies as the CIA, FBI and clandestine US government agencies. [15] It is claimed that these visitors issue threats to UFO investigators to terminate their investigations immediately. It is claimed that the reason for such government intervention is that the implications in the existence of extraterrestrial beings are so serious that the government does not want their existence proved to the public. [16] The subject of implications is treated in chapter IV of this paper. Suffice it to say at this point that the implications are serious enough that the rationale for suppression is not altogether unreasonable. Those who claim hostile intent share the burden of proof is upon them. As with the other camps, the hostile group has no convincing hardware-type evidence. The evidence 14 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- is circumstantial. Conclusions are drawn from the frame of reference of the observer. For example, if an individual suffers temporary paralysis caused by some action on the part of a space being, he, as a human being , may consider this to be undesirable and a hostile act. This is a subjective conclusion drawn from an act which in itself contains no malevolent or benevolent connotation. In this example, consider that paralysis may likewise be a beneficial condition to prevent death or injury to the observer by keeping him a safe distance from harm. The same rationale can be used for the death, injury, abduction and reconnaissance incidents cited in the literature. These acts could be considered benevolent or neutral in intent as well as malevolent. For this reason, the author has found that hostile type literature is more interesting from the standpoint of description of the incident than from the conclusions drawn. The account of the abduction of Mr. and Mrs. Barney Hill is one of the most compelling report in the literature and is highly recommended to interested readers. [17] While such an abduction would admittedly be very unnerving to the abducted, the incident caused no harm, if one can discount the possible long term psychological effect of the experience on the Hills. 15 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- In summary, the proponents of hostility tend towards sensationalism, address only specific cases without regard to the general context, are rather superficial in their treatment, may conceal the identity of the principals and draw conclusions concerning intent which do not necessarily follow from the incidents. On the other hand, some of the points made worthy of consideration, especially those which relate to implications. The Ultra Group (Benevolent). this group is characterized by claims of periodic personal contact with saucer beings, trips in flying saucers to other planets, tours of exotic cities on other planets and discussions with extraterrestrial beings concerning their way of life, attitudes, philosophies and reasons for contact with the Earth. As a general rule, the extraterrestrial beings described by this group are similar to Man in physical characteristics, but of much higher order of intelligence. The space beings are technologically, morally, and spiritually for advanced and either directly or through implication attempt to allow Man that he, too, can attain this higher degree of development. The space beings are benevolent and urge the spiritual approach to life. [18] They have a fraternal attitude towards Man. Their visits to Earth occur either as a part of programmed visits to 16 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- various parts of space for educational or recreational purposes or specifically for the purpose of enlightening Man. In addition, there is some concern with Man's experimentation with nuclear energy, since atmospheric detonations modify the lines of magnetic force around the Earth sufficiently to cause an imbalance of the magnetic relationships within the solar system. [19] this disturbs the space beings for at least four reasons: They use magnetic forces for power for their space ships; [20] they use magnetic lines of force for navigation; [21] they do not want to see the planet Earth significantly altered, since this would cause an imbalance within the solar system; and they feel that Man has within himself the potential for spiritual development, which would suffer regression in the event of world nuclear suicide. [22] So, the interest of the space beings in humanity is one of self interest in addition to the more compelling desire to see Man advance spiritually. It is claimed that throughout the history of Man the space beings have taken an interest in the spiritual development of Man. [23] Proponents of the benevolent approach cite many cases of contact between Man and the space beings throughout history. Classic examples of such contacts, supposedly not properly recognized, are the miracle at Fatima [24] and Ezekiel and 17 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- the wheel. [25] The cloud by day and fire by night which guided Moses on his journey out of Egypt is also claimed to have been a space ship. [26] The general approach of the benevolent space beings is to discuss problems of humanity in very broad terms. Concepts of love for fellow man, cooperation, pursuit of things spiritual, a downgrading of material wealth.... all these topics are discussed by the space beings with select Earth beings. The message is that Man's value system is in error and that pursuit of his present way of life is contrary to the universal plan and prejudicial to Man's further spiritual enlightenment. Mastery of space travel, telepathic communication, reception and display of images three-dimensionally and in color as exact reproductions of the original, electromagnetic transmission or power....all these technologies and abilities are presented as only natural consequences of higher spiritual development. [27] It is pointed out that Man does not yet recognize that relationship which exists between the spiritual and the material and therefore struggles along in his feeble efforts to advance his technology without truly understanding what he is doing. The point is made that Man will continue to ponder the "whys" in his scientific investigations until he has reached the 18 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- point in his spiritual development where he will be able to comprehend the interrelationship between the spiritual and the material, and be able to use this understanding to further his interests, which he will recognize as spiritual. Although the emphasis is on the spiritual shortcomings of Man, as a matter of course during these discussions the Earth contactee is treated to tours of space vehicles and contacts with space beings. [28] the space people are usually described as being similar to Man in stature, facial features, skeletal structure, etc., but of superior intelligence and ethical development....soft spoken, kind, gentile, polite and with a radiance which comes from superior spiritual development. The most convincing writers in this group present comprehensive, lucid, logical, literate writings in the highest ethical tradition. Students of philosophy, world religions, occult sciences and the Bible will find that the purported statements if the space beings are in consonance with the major religious beliefs of Man. According to authors of this group, the space beings have long ago recognized the universal truths scattered throughout all Earth religions and have been able to synthesize these truths into an ethic which they live in their daily 19 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- lives. This recognition of and adherence to the Truth gives the space beings individual powers which we consider supernatural, but which they claim derive as a natural result of spiritual development. Here again, the evidence presented by this group is not physical. That is, they do not present pieces of apace ships or other tangible items. They ask us to believe their accounts on face value because the contacts did in fact occur as written. In some cases the author presents affidavits warranting the truth of the story or has signed statements by the witnesses. [29] Affidavits notwithstanding, many in contemporary society will find the spiritual approach to be too rarified to accept and will continue to insist on physical evidence as the only acceptable scientific proof. The Normal Believers. The author has included the word "normal" in identifying this group because its membership is composed of individuals who would be considered rational human beings, as opposed to cult-oriented, by the uninitiated. The Normal Believers are, nevertheless, believers. As such, they still are targets for the non-believers, but are not subjected to the intensely sarcastic criticism reserved for the Ultra Believers. The Normal Believers are convinced that UFOs exist and urge a serious, 20 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- methodical approach to investigating UFO incidents. In addition, they feel that some attempt should be made to understand the extraterrestrials: to try to determine the reasons for their Earth visits. This group takes an approach acceptable to modern society. That is, their approach is pragmatic, practical and in consonance with the scientific method. It is this group which shows an objective approach to the problem while at the same time vigorously urging a serious investigation into the UFO phenomenon. The emphasis in this group is on establishing for the populace that UFOs do exist. the interest of this group is in feasibility, technology and the establishment of motive or intent. Their general approach is documentation of sightings, description of incidents, establishment of witness credibility and sincere requests for a thorough and methodical investigation. The National Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena (NICAP) is the single best representative organization for this group. It consists of respected and "normal" members of society who are specialists in fields such as the physical sciences, the humanities, psychology, etc. In addition to members and consultants in the Washington, D.C. area, the location of the home office, NICAP has 21 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- qualified regional representatives who are on call to respond to reports of sightings in their respective geographical areas. Reports of sightings are investigated promptly and documented much in the same format as is recommended by the Air Force. [30] The NICAP report, "The UFO Evidence," is an excellent example of the objective, thorough approach of NICAP. The report consists of complete reports of sightings: diagrams of space vehicles as sighted, statements on color, size, shape, maneuvers, direction of movement, etc. Most impressive are the paragraphs on witnesses. NICAP has collected sightings from diverse individuals whose testimony cannot be lightly dismissed. reports come from airline pilots, technical people and a host of other men, women and children, either as individual or group witnesses to sightings. many sighting reports come from individuals who were skeptics prior to their personal involvement in a sighting. NICAP is thoroughly convincing in pointing out that UFO sightings do not only come from UFO cultists, but come from random sources and from people of various educational levels and occupations. In one section of the report there is a table showing comparisons of UFO shapes, size, color, maneuvers, etc. The reader is immediately struck with the consistency in 22 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- characteristics which is apparent among reported at different locations and at different periods of time by different witnesses. However, these consistencies are apparent not only within the NICAP report but appear throughout the literature, whether the UFO is supposedly benevolent, malevolent or neutral. (Appendix A to this paper describes those characteristics of UFO sightings most commonly reported throughout the literature.) The Aerial Phenomena Research Organization (APRO) is another organization which uses a "rational" approach, but organizational discipline appears not to be as refined as NICAP's. Hover, in addition to being relatively objective, the APRO periodical publication enables a reader to learn of recent sightings in the world shortly after they are reported to APRO. [31] lest it be assumed that the Normal Believers are all members of one or the other of the above cited organizations, the author offers the following examples of the types of statements which come from independent technical people: - Dr. Herman Oberth, noted German rocket expert:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Dr. James E. MacDonald, professor of meteorology at the University of Arizona and senior physicist at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics in Tucson:
24 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- and orders given to the Air Force to debunk UFOs to prevent mass hysteria among the populace. [36] The Normal Believers argue that to ignore a reality is to take an ostrich-like approach to the problem, and furthermore, the populace would be able to cope with the realization that UFOs exist without hysteria. It is claimed that the Air Force knows UFOs exist, protestations to the contrary notwithstanding. So, the Normal Believers persist in their efforts to establish the existence of UFOs. That a congressional hearing on UFOs took place in 1966 largely because of the pressures of this group attests to its influence. [37] The Converts. Those who have been neutrals, skeptics or outright non-believers but who have eventually sided with the Believers have been placed in this category. This group, although relatively small, contains individuals who speak persuasively, its members having been at one time in the neutral or negative camp. In addition, the top level converts have been, or are presently, officially connected with the U.S. Air Force investigation of UFOs. The author places in this category Edward J. Ruppelt (formerly Capt. Ruppelt, chief of Project Blue Book, 1951-1953), and Dr. J. Allen Hynek, (director of Dearborn 25 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Observatory, director of the Lindheimer Astronomical Research Center, Chairman of Department of Astronomy at Northwestern University and consultant to the USAF on the UFO problem since 1948.) ____ of the understandable characteristics of this group is the tendency to issue ambiguous or ambivalent public statements on the subject of UFOs which st__ _____ t the speaker to maneuver in response to diverse external pressures. Their official and public relationship to the Air Force investigation most likely causes these investigators to assume this relatively safe, non-committal, fence-sitting position. However, the difference between the public position and the private position can be rather easily detected by the serious researcher. Let us look at a few of the statements of Captain Ruppelt and Dr. Hynek as exemplifying this sometimes subtle shift from non-belief or skepticism to belief. Capt. Ruppelt (deceased) was the chief of the Air Force's Project Blue Book, the project charged with the responsibility for investigating UFO reports, from 1951 until 1953. During the course of his tenure in this position, he and his staff studied over 4500 reports of UFOs. All reports were subjected to military intelligence analysis procedures. they were analyzed through consultations with 26 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- astronomers, physicists, aerodynamic engineers and psychologists in the course of the Air Force investigations. [38] After his release from the Air Force, Captain Ruppelt wrote a now famous book about these investigations entitled "The Report on Unidentified Flying Objects." [39] The following statements by Capt. Ruppelt appear in the Book.
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Dr. Hynek, the present consultant to the Air Force in UFO matters, makes statements similar in approach to Ruppelt's. The following are examples. For the congressional record, Dr. Hynek made the following statement:
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30 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- to having been personally involved in many of the investigations. The Neutrals. This group consists of that segment of the population which has no opinion in the UFO debate, either through personal choice or because of professional constraint. Within this large group are contained the astronomers, biologists and other scientists who speak of the possibility of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe, but who are non-committal about the existence of UFOs. The U.S. Air Force is a member of the neutral group, at least officially. The Air Force position is a perplexing one. Although the Air Force has attempted to show official neutrality and objectivity in the UFO debate, it has in reality vacillated between belief and non-belief, all the while trying to give the impression of neutrality. A reader of official Air Force pronouncements is left with the problem of determining for himself what the position is, if in fact there is a position, since he may read official Air Force statements which are pro-UFO, neutral, and anti-UFO. This problem will be discussed at length in Chapter III of this paper. Of interest are the statements made by various members of the scientific community relative to the possibility of the existence of life elsewhere in the universe. 31 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- It is acknowledged that it would not necessarily follow that UFOs exist as vehicles controlled by some extraterrestrial intelligence even if it could be proven that life does in fact exist elsewhere. However, it appears that the UFO believers would derive a certain degree of support and the positive UFO position would gain increased credibility if it could be demonstrated that life exists elsewhere, since it is assumed that "intelligence" presumes some type of living form. Dr. Carl Sagan (Department of Astronomy, Harvard University; Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, Cambridge, Massachusetts; and advisor to the armed services on extraterrestrial life) has this to say:
32 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- must be prepared to face the possibility that the Earth has already been visited by intelligent beings from elsewhere in the universe, and that they have, or have had, bases on the far side of the moon. [54] Another astronomer, Dr. Jesse Greenstein, staff member of Mount Wilson and Palomar observatories and professor of astrophysics at the California Institute of Technology says:
33 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- of the approach taken by Mr. Fuller, and containing a detailed discussion of the many factors and situations surrounding that particular sighting. Incidentally, Mr. Fuller quotes Frank B. Salisbury, of the Department of Botany and Plant Pathology of Colorado State University, as having said:
In "The Interrupted Journey", Mr. Fuller once more meticulously documents the experience of Mr. and Mrs. Barney Hill in connection with their alleged abduction by space beings. This account is anything but frivolous, and does not contain the science fiction sensationalism which one might expect. It is a report of the circumstances surrounding the abduction as revealed 34 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- independently by Mr. and Mrs. Hill to Dr. Benjamin Simon, M.D., under rigidly controlled hypnosis. The book is in large part made up of the transcript of the tape recorded interviews between Dr, Simon and Mr. and Mrs. Hill while the Hills were under hypnosis. Appropriate professional commentary by Dr. Simon is included. "The Interrupted Journey" raises many trouble some questions about the existence of UFOs, the motives of the space beings (if the in fact exist), and what the experience which the Hills apparently had portends for the future of Man. Of recent, we have seen the entry of the mass news media into the UFO debate in a position of neutrality. Numerous articles have appeared recently in "reputable" newspapers and magazine in the form of editorials and special features, and scientific journals have carried a few articles on UFOs. There has been a significant change in the approach that the mass circulation publications have taken. Whereas early articles were usually derisively written as human interest stories, replete with appropriate references to green men, the more recent articles seriously raise the question of the existence of UFOs. [59] This change in attitude may be attributable 35 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- to the generally more permissive outlook which the public has recently taken. the approach taken by mass media publications seems to reflect quite accurately the attitudes of the general populace at any particular point in time. Those in the neutral camp have made a most significant contribution to the UFO debate: they have brought the subject to the attention of the general public without taking sides. They have in effect assured the public that the subject of UFOs can be discussed in public. It appears that as long as UFO articles did not appear in mass media in serious form the general public was reluctant to broach the subject for fear of ridicule. Once the newspapers and magazines began to address the subject with some seriousness, they seemed to signal to the faint hearted that it was now all right to discuss the subject. Popular interest and discussion in a society responsive to public opinion is usually a precursor of official action. One might say in summary that the Neutrals view the UFO debate from a position which allows them interest without involvement. It is a position which is politically equivocal and more or less professionally safe. 36 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The Non-Believers The spectrum for Non-Believers is less definite than for the Believers, and the author has chosen to place all Non-Believers in a common category. There have been, and continue to be, a few spokesmen for the Non-Believer group, but the output of literature for this group is quantitatively far below that of the various believer groups. Generally, the Non-Believer literature has as its main objective the debunking of believers, the challenging of witnesses to UFO incidents, and attempts to demonstrate "scientifically" that UFOs do not exist. the usual approach is to cite examples wherein a UFO sighting has been definitely identified as some neutral or man-made phenomenon or object, and then by analogy to extrapolate that particular solution to unresolved cases. Characteristically, the Non-Believer literature contains shallow argument, irrelevancies, faulty analogy and a failure at address knotty cases of UFO sightings without rebuttal in specific or convincing terms. The author has personally encountered many cases of non-belief in which the Non-Believer has had little or no knowledge of the specifics of the debate and of 37 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- the evidence and has merely "felt" that UFOs do not exist. In these instances, the position of non-belief is probably taken out of a combination of ignorance and the desire to be considered normal, conventional and stable. Within the anti-UFO group there are various shades of non-belief: from the doubting to the absolutely intransigent. But regardless of the degree of non-belief, the Non-Believers use "rationality" as a common approach. That is, they explain sightings in terms of what Man today considers acceptable as defined by the scientific method. This group feels that all instances of UFO sightings can be explained "rationally" as man-made objects or misinterpretations of natural phenomena, or mental aberration, or hoax. Even in instances in which they are at a loss to propose an explanation they are confident that the explanation lies in one of the categories cited. They do not deny that many people have seen what they consider to be UFOs; they say that these observers are mistaken in their observations and that what was truly seen was some "rationally" explainable object or phenomenon. this group will not entertain the idea that UFOs are extraterrestrial space vehicles. 38 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- The usual approach is to cite examples of positive identification of something sighted as man-made or natural and then to attempt to use that particular example as a plausible explanation for those sightings categorized as unknown. The literature of the Non-Believers becomes at times as caustic about the subject as that of the Believers. One of the prime weapons of this rational, science-oriented group ridicule. Dr. Hynek, scientist-turned-convert, properly points out that "ridicule is not a part of the Scientific Method and the public should not be taught that it is." [60] The attempts by the Non-Believers to explain UFOs in terms of natural phenomena and mistaken identity is exhaustive. Let us look at some examples of the approach] taken as exemplified by the writings of Dr. Donald Menzel, [61] Professor of Astrophysics at Harvard University, and Lt. Col. Lawrence J. Tacker, USAF. [62] Both these writers are placed by the author in the category of intransigent Non-Believers and, as such, may not truly represent the more moderate Non-Believers. However both Menzel and Tacker are quoted profusely in most of the Non-Believer literature as authorities - Menzel representing science and Tacker representing the United States Air Force. 39 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dr. Menzel, in his "Flying Saucers'" [63] sets the general tone of the book in his first sentence: "Throughout the ages, apparitions of one kind or another have plagued the human race." On page 6 of the same book, Menzel states that "Flying saucers are real - as real as a rainbow, and no more dangerous." From that departure point he goes on throughout the book to describe how various natural phenomena in the sky behave. He implies in most cases that UFOs can be accounted for in large measure by these celestial phenomena. He describes the behavior and appearance of the setting sun, comets and meteors, solar halos, mock suns, ice crystals, lenses of air, mirages, refraction, aurora borealis and conditions causing radar anomalies. These discussions are very interesting, but the reader is left to his own resources to try to match these descriptions of natural phenomena to specific UFO sightings. In those few instances in which Menzel attempts to relate these phenomena to sightings, he does so very briefly and almost as if he were anxious to move on to his next topic. As an example: beginning on page twelve of the cited work, and continuing through page seventeen, Menzel repeats several reports made by pilots in connection with sightings. The reports are by pilots of Eastern Airlines, 40 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mid-Continent Airlines, Lt. George F. Gorman (ANG) and others. After describing the various encounters, Menzel comments only on the Gorman incident. After describing "fireball fighter" (foo fighter) cases experienced in World War II, he extrapolates the observation to the Gorman case with, "to my mind, the similarity of Gorman's object to the foo fighters seems entirely reasonable." [64] He gives no specifics and no analysis. He asks us to accept this as an explanation because it "seems reasonable to him. Once having established in this manner that the explanation lies in foo fighters, Menzel then incorporates this conclusions into the statement, "I think Gorman was right when he stated that the foo fighter seemed to be controlled by thought. However, the thought that controlled it was his own." [65] Gorman did not say the object was a foo fighter. [66] Menzel does not say how he arrived at the conclusion that the object was controlled by Gorman's thought; he just comes to that conclusion. Lest the reader question the logic of Menzel's conclusions, he says, "We may not be able to account for every detail; the impressions of the observer are hazy and leave many gaps." [67] Menzel goes on in the same vein in his attempt to explain some of the sightings reported throughout history, 41 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- and dispose of Ezekiel's wheel as a misinterpretation of a complex solar halo. [68] In like manner, the classic Lubbock lights case is explained: [69]
The above examples illustrate the type of logic used by Menzel. The approach is one typical of the Non-Believer group. In Menzel's case, one gets the feeling almost of desperation. He has so long resisted the idea of UFOs as space vehicles, has attacked so many of the Believers, becoming the champion of many of the Non-Believers, that he has placed himself in the uncomfortable position of not being able to gracefully extricate himself from his unyielding position. He, himself, best illustrates his 42 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- intransigence and closed mind with these words:
Another widely quoted Non-Believer is Lt. Col. Lawrence J. Tacker, a former chief of Public Information, Headquarters, USAF. He published a book in 1960 titled "Flying Saucers and the U.S. Air Force." [73] This book has been a key publication in the UFO debate. It is used by the Non-Believers for official support of their position. Tacker takes generally the same approach as Menzel in that he attempts to demonstrate that UFOs are cases of mistaken identity of man-made or natural objects and phenomena. Tacker devotes a large part of the book to assuring the populace that the Air Force is not withholding UFO information, a charge constantly levied against the Air Force by all Believer groups. In Tacker's book one encounters what might be called the demented-by-reason-of-association technique, or the oblique ridicule method. Also, one encounters false logic in the Melzelian pattern. 43 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let us briefly look at some examples of Tacker's approach. The foreword to the book is by General Thomas D. White, Chief of Staff of the Air Force at the time. Gen. White explains that the Air Force is responsible for the air defense of the United States He goes on to say that the Air Force is in charge of UFO investigations. The last two sentences of the statement are subject to question if they are based on Tacker's arguments. These statements are:
44 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- conclusion while at the same time preserving an escape opportunity, semantically, if the existence of UFOs is "proven" at some later date. In itself, it may appear to be a sincere statement, but in the context of the debate it is evasive. In his opening chapter, Tacker gives an account of a sighting near the Hawaiian Islands on 11 July 1959. This was a sighting reported by five separate observers, all airline pilots: one from Slick Airways, one from Empress Airlines, one from United Airlines and two from Pan American - all reporting the same object. Although each report varies in some of the specifics, these common observations were made: very bright lights in a clear sky, moving at high speed and making a sharp (90 degree) turn in flight at high speed. Tacker then goes into some general information about meteors and fireballs and disposes of this sighting by saying that the opinion of the Air Technical Intelligence Center was that the object was a fireball, and that they felt that all observers had seen this same meteor. [74] It should be noted here that Tacker uses the same device as Menzel, in that he tries first to establish in the mind of the reader what the object was and then, using his conclusion, he incorporates that conclusion into a subsequent statement. 45 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- At the end of this particular narrative, Tacker makes a footnote comment that he used poetic license in reporting this incident, for dramatic effect, and also, that this narrative "proves" the "fact" that even highly trained observers can be mystified by what they have seen. [75] After dealing with several other sightings, Tacker closes his third chapter with, "And so it goes. Sightings come in from all over the world from various types of individuals, with the great majority of sightings logically explained after objective investigation. Certainly the experience gained over the last 13 years points up to the fact that flying saucers are not space craft from other worlds but, rather, represent conventional objects or aerial phenomena seen under confusing conditions." Another interesting statement by Tacker appears on page 47 of his book:
46 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Coral Lorenzen, of the Aerial Phenomena Research Organization (APRO), and which deals with the famous Trinidade Island sighting. [76] In his letter Tacker quotes a statement by the Brazilian Navy Ministry, which reads in part,
47 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ministry did not say this. They said that the photographs did not constitute sufficient proof to enable them to make a pronouncement. In addition, Tacker qualifies his statement about the existence of flying saucers by adding. "as space ships." So, he does not say that Mr. Barauna and the crew did not see a flying saucer. The final twist of logic comes in the last sentence when Tacker says that the Air Force has concluded that the whole thing was a hoax. Mrs. Lorenzen discusses the processing and analysis of Mr. Barauna's film in Chapter XI of her book, "The Great Flying Saucer Hoax." [77] She says that the film was processed immediately after the photos were taken, and that the processing was witnesses by several of the officers of the ship, and that the negatives were viewed by the entire crew of the ship immediately after processing. She says that the negatives were sent to Cruzeiro do Sul Aerophotogrammetric Service, where they were analyzed. The laboratory determined that they were genuine. If this is true, then this causes one to wonder on what basis the Air Force has declared this sighting a hoax. These brief examples illustrate the approach taken by Lt. Col. Tacker and Dr. Menzel. A was pointed out earlier. Menzel and Tacker are not in the moderate Non-Believer camp, but they have become champions of this 48 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- group and are widely quoted as the scientific and official authority by the Non-believer group. Some of the explanations for sightings presented by this group are easy to accept within the framework of the scientific method. There is no question that a portion of the sightings are indeed misinterpretations or hoaxes. The Non-Believers cite several cases of sightings which have been definitely identified as misinterpretations, and they substantiate these cases. Also, there have been several cases in which individuals have admitted perpetrating a hoax. However, it does not follow that because some cases can be demonstrated to be misinterpretations or hoaxes that all sightings can be explained in these terms. It is most difficult to reconcile many sightings as reported by reputable and qualified observers with the explanations proposed by the Non-Believers. This group has been severe in its debunking of witnesses and has incurred the wrath and disgust of many. The Non-Believers should remember that, while the Believers must demonstrate that UFOs exist, the Non-Believers must demonstrate that they do not. The crux of the debate lies in the definition of acceptable and valid evidence. 49 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Summary Very generally, these are the participants in the UFO debate, which goes on interminably. Unfortunately, the Air Force is caught in the cross-fire as the Believers debate the intent of the space beings, the Non-Believers try to discount the whole subject, and the Neutrals and Converts plead for level-headed investigation. The Air Force response to, and involvement in, the UFO debate will be discussed in the next chapter. Some Observations Of recent, there seems to be a general shift in attitude, frequently quite subtle, on the question of UFOs. Reputable scientists issue statements from time to time which do not reflect as negative as approach as they have borne heretofore. There appears to be among the populace less reluctance to consider the possibility, at least, of the existence of UFOs. The shift may be attributable, in part, to advancing space technology, to more and more sightings by reputable individuals and groups, to more photographic evidence and to a general feeling that there may be something to the UFO debate if the Air Force has asked the University of Colorado to study the problem. 50 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- CHAPTER III THE AIR FORCE AND UFOs It can be seen from the foregoing discussion that there is diversity of opinion in the UFO debate. The populace at large looks to the Air Force as the authority and is apparently willing to accept official Air Force explanations. The Air Force position on the existence of UFOs is as follows: To date, the firm conclusions of project Blue Book are: 1. No unidentified flying object reported, investigated and evaluated by the Air Force has ever given any indication of threat to our national security. 2. There has been no evidence submitted to or discovered by the Air Force that sightings categorized as UNIDENTIFIED represent technological developments or principles beyond the range of present day scientific knowledge. 3. There has been no evidence indicating that sightings categorized as UNIDENTIFIED are extraterrestrial vehicles. [1] The challenge to this Air Force position comes from those who have studied the UFO problem in some detail and includes individuals who have been associated with the Air Force investigation. 51 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Past Performance From the very beginning of the current UFO debate,
which is defined as the way Mr. Arnold reported objects which appeared
to him like "flying saucers," the Air Force was off to a bad
start. [2] Dr. Hynek at that time suggested that Mr. Arnold's
"saucers" were some type of known aircraft. Based on
Kenneth Arnold's sighting, and the interest it generated across the
nation, the Air Force became officially involved with UFOs.
[3] The early years were devoted to investigation of 52 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Arnold's sighting. So, one might say that the Air Force was pressured by public opinion into doing something. Dr. Hynek, the Air Force's special consultant on UFOs, says this about Air Force interest in UFOs in 1948:
53 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- debate, except what had been briefed to him in grossly general terms, and did not know of the existence of NICAP, which he referred to as "nightcap" in his briefing notes. Even if one attributes exceptional competence to the central Blue Book staff, the grade structure and paucity of numbers could be interpreted by sensitive individuals as an indication that the Air Force does not take the UFO problem seriously and maintains the Blue Book office to assuage the sensibilities of the public. Admittedly, the Air Force is in a difficult position. They must try to maintain objectivity; they must be relatively conservative and operate within the framework of the scientific method as presently defined; they must consider the effects of their pronouncements on the American Public, but the man-at-large and the scientific community; they must insure that their pronouncements on the are in consonance with national policy... and they must be able to reconcile these constraints with the truth. In cases where the truth and the constraints are not compatible, something must be sacrificed. It goes without saying that any official pressure on the Air Force, an agency of the government, can be quite effective. If 54 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- these pressures dictates that only partial truths be told, then the Air Force has only three options: tell that partial truth as best it can, refuse to comply, or refuse to say anything. The Air Force, as the official agency for UFO investigations, cannot remain silent, and it is not realistic to think that the Air Force is in a position to refuse the "guidance" of higher authority. This leaves the last option: tread the hazardous path of partial truth, ambivalence, ambiguity and vagueness. This, of course, may be the best path from a national standpoint, in view of the implications, but organizations like NICAP and APRO are not satisfied with this approach and constantly remind the Air Force of their displeasure through publications, letters to the Air Force and agitation among various congressmen and senators. A serious investigator of the UFO problem cannot believe that the Air Force is satisfied with its solutions. This presumes that the investigations are carried out with competence. One begins to appreciate the dilemma of the Air Force when one considers that Captain Ruppelt spent two years as the chief of Project Blue Book but did not publish his book until 1956, after leaving the Air Force. The question could be asked, "Why was the information contained in Ruppelt's book not published as an 55 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- official Blue Book report while he was in charge of the UFO investigation? Ruppelt speaks his mind in his book. Why did he not say what he had to say while he was holding his official position? Was it because he was officially constrained? Tacker has this to say in a rather obvious reference to Ruppelt:
56 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- problem, because the Believers immediately have taken the Air Force to task. In an effort to clarify and explain what it really meant, the Air Force has clarified itself into even greater problems by trying to explain the logic on which the initial statement was based. As an example of how the Air Force gets into a position from which it has difficulty extricating itself, the writer of this paper has selected at random just one case from among the almost innumerable cases which would just as well illustrate the point. This case also illustrates the problem of credibility, the question of the thoroughness of Air Force investigations, the problem of inconsistency, the problem of carelessness and the problem of community relations. This particular case has been widely commented on in the UFO literature and has caused considerable consternation as to the Air Force approach. The sighting occurred on January 11, 1966, at Wanaque, New Jersey. [8] The sighting was witnessed by entire communities. At the Wanaque reservoir, over which the UFO hovered for two hours, the police had to set up traffic controls to handle the volume of pedestrians and automobiles which converged on the reservoir. Among the witnesses were the mayor of Wanaque, a city 57 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- councilman, various police officers and the general public. The UFO hovered over the reservoir from 6:20 PM until 8:58 PM. It was observed with the naked eye and through binoculars. It was described as a bright disk between two and nine feet in diameter, silent, and playing a bright light an the surface of the ice on the reservoir. Its speed in flight was described as about 1000 MPH as it moved up and down the reservoir (6 miles). The light was white, changed to green, and at times the white light had a red fringe. The UFO came to within twenty feet of the surface of the ice. Those are the essential elements of the sighting. This sighting was reported immediately to the nearest Air force bases (Stewart AFB, N.Y. and McGuire AFB, N.J.). Stewart Air Base reported no military aircraft in the area. Later, McGuire Air Base said that the UFO was a weather balloon which was launched from Kennedy International Airport. A weather observer at Patterson, N.J. then said that the UFO might be the planet Venus or an aircraft. Then Stewart Air Base said that an Air Force helicopter with a powerful beacon had been on a mission in the area. McGuire then called the local police and rescinded their balloon explanation. A Major Sherman 58 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- then called from Stewart Air Base and denied the earlier Stewart explanation of the helicopter. he said that there were no aircraft from Stewart in the area. This call took place after several aircraft were seen over the reservoir. The next day, the Pentagon announced that the UFO was a helicopter with a powerful beacon. Shortly thereafter, Wright-Patterson made the announcement that the UFO could be attributed to the planets Venus and Jupiter and an Air Force Helicopter. This narrative need little comment. If one tries to reconcile the sighting as reported by many witnesses at any of the explanations offered, there are several things left unexplained. The inconsistencies in the official statements are obvious. Of interest is the matter of the aircraft in the area. There are many cases in the literature in which it is claimed that the Air Force has denied dispatching aircraft to investigate, even though these aircraft have been seen in the UFO area. As for the object itself and the official explanation, one would question a disc-shaped object able to move up and down the reservoir silently at 1000 MPH as a helicopter, a planet, or a weather balloon. How were these explanations arrived at without an on-the-spot official observer? If the Air Force did not know what 59 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- the object was, why did they try to explain it? Could they not have said that they did not know but would investigate? This is a case of poor judgment and inept handling. The press was quite caustic in its comments about the Air Force explanation. Even assuming that the thousands of people had observed some natural phenomenon, or aircraft, or were suffering from mass hallucination, or that a hoax was being perpetrated, it would appear that the Air Force handled the situation poorly and not in the best interest of Air Force-community relations. With the way the Air Force handled this sighting, would it not seem natural for the population to wonder, at least, about the efficiency and coordination of the Air Force? In another case, several sightings of UFOs occurred over the state of Oklahoma during the period 31 July to 3 August 1965. The UFOs were tracked on radar by the weather bureau in Wichita and were seen by a variety of witnesses, including many at McConnell Air Force Base. The Oklahoma Highway Patrol reported watching diamond-shaped formations of UFOs for half an hour. Details in this case are unimportant, because regardless of the specifics, the Air Force pronouncement on this incident 60 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- is inexcusable. The Air Force answer to these sightings was that the observers had seen the stars Rigel, Capella and Aldebran. There was only one problem: These stars were on the opposite side of the Earth from Oklahoma during the period of the sightings. Star locations were confirmed by Walter Webb, Hayden Planetarium, Boston, and Robbert Risser, Director, Oklahoma Planetarium, who said of the Air Force explanation. "This is as far from the truth as you can get." [10] This case illustrates the type of answer provided to the public by the Air Force in many cases. This type of answer has become so common that the Believers have come to expect that the Air Force will "solve" UFO cases in this manner. What this does to Air Force credibility is obvious. Another interesting point is that the Air Force classifies UFOs in three general categories: Identified, Insufficient Data and Unidentified. [11] In the case just mentioned, one wonders into which classification it was placed. the whole matter of the Air Force classification system, the basis on which the Air Force classifies sightings, what constitutes adequate substantiation for a classification of Identified and the validity of the statistical approach as a method for determining the existence or non-existence of UFOs have come under fire 61 ------------------------------- |